An Investor Who Sees The Future

[President Vysotsky Declares War on Ukraine!]

[Russian Forces Begin to Move from Border Areas!]

[NATO Hints at Counter-Response!]

[Will a Full-Scale War Erupt Between Russian and NATO Forces in Ukraine?]

[US Urges Restraint from Both Sides]

[Out of 29 NATO Countries, Only 15 Have Declared Participation in the War. Eastern European Countries Reserve Their Stance]

[Even if War Breaks Out in Europe, US Forces Will Not Participate]

[The Biggest Crisis in Europe Since World War II!]

[Ukrainian Citizens Hoard Daily Necessities in Fear of War]

- Russia has gone mad. Are they really thinking of steamrolling Ukraine?

-Even for Russia, isn't this going too far? Their opponent is the world's largest military alliance.

- LOL, NATO is a corpse without the US anyway. Germany and France are disorganized troops, so without US participation, there's no answer.

- But what's with the US? What is this, the Monroe Doctrine?

- NATO has the Eurofighter! It's all over when the Eurofighter takes off!

- Is that thing even finished? It'll get creamed by the Su-35.

- Let's just push in the remaining quantity this time and sink them in the Black Sea.

-Fold the Eurofighter and go with the Rafale!

- Bro Vysotsky, this isn't it. Shouldn't someone stop him?

- What is Kang Jin-hoo doing, not stopping him? Somebody stop him~

***

The Soviet Union, which had once divided the world with the United States, had collapsed, and the Warsaw Pact was dissolved. The Eastern European countries that had been facing off against Western Europe began to reduce their military spending to survive.

With the launch of the EU, Europe realized a political union beyond an economic one. As it was expected that there would be no more wars in Europe, former military powers such as Germany and France carried out disarmament.

The German Federal Army was once considered the second strongest after the US, and it virtually played the role of NATO's tanker. But that is now a thing of the past. The armored divisions were disbanded, and the tanks were sold to other countries.

That is why they were unable to respond appropriately in a military sense to Russia's annexation of Crimea and its occupation of eastern Ukraine.

But this time was different.

As the Russian forces in the border areas began to move, the Polish forces, which could be called the main force of NATO, also began to move towards Ukraine.

A rumor even spread that a French submarine equipped with SLBMs had moved into the Black Sea. It was highly likely that this was just a rumor, as Turkey would not have approved the passage of a nuclear submarine through the Bosphorus Strait.

But the fact that such a rumor was spreading was proof of how serious the situation was.

***

The Russian economy, which had been gradually recovering, collapsed again as emerging countries defaulted one after another.

The CDS premium soared by more than 700bp in a month, and experts predicted the probability of a Russian default at 77 percent.

The ruble plummeted day after day, and as Russian companies failed to repay their debts, the country was engulfed in the fear of a chain of defaults.

Russia's external debt was $612 billion, far exceeding its foreign exchange reserves of $460 billion.

The Russian people recalled the nightmare of the default that occurred in 1998. At that time, due to the national bankruptcy, even public officials could not receive their salaries, and as winter came, people began to freeze to death in droves.

The citizens of the world's largest natural gas producer were freezing to death because they couldn't afford heating!

As this happened, President Vysotsky's support base, which had been like an iron fortress, began to shake. The terrorist attack in Crimea that occurred in this situation was enough to turn Russia upside down.

Taek-gyu asked, as if he didn't understand.

"Weren't Russia and Ukraine already at war? What's the difference now that they're declaring war?"

I shook my head.

"Strictly speaking, Russia and Ukraine are not at war."

"Then what are the Russian forces in Ukraine?"

"They're not regular troops. They're volunteer forces who voluntarily took up arms and rushed to support the independence of Novorossiya. Surprisingly, they even have armored vehicles and surface-to-air missiles."

"..."

Taek-gyu looked at a loss for words.

"Come to think of it, the same goes for Crimea."

Strictly speaking, Russia did not forcibly seize Ukrainian territory in Crimea. The Autonomous Republic of Crimea declared independence from Ukraine, then applied to join the Russian Federation, and Russia, as if it had been waiting, approved it.

But the process itself was illegal, and it was a violation of the Budapest Memorandum that Russia had signed with Ukraine in the past, so it was not internationally recognized.

In any case, it's an open secret that Russian regular troops are mixed in with the volunteer forces and that they receive support from the Russian government.

It's a case of burying one's head in the sand, but if they just did that, the other side could also pretend not to know. But if they declared war, the story changes.

If things go wrong, a full-scale war could break out between the EU and Russia in Ukraine. As the sense of crisis escalated, the stock markets in both Europe and Russia plummeted.

In Kiev, a procession of foreign expatriates escaping continued, and as citizens began to hoard daily necessities, the supermarket shelves became empty.

***

I tried to contact the Kremlin. After several attempts, I finally managed to get in touch with President Vysotsky.

He asked me in a business-like tone.

[It's been a while.]

"I'm sorry to bother you when you must be very busy. There's something I must tell you."

[What is it?]

"Please stop the advance on Kiev."

At my words, President Vysotsky said, displeased.

[It's true that we have a close relationship, but that doesn't mean you can cross the line. This is a matter related to Russia's prestige. There's a Russian proverb that says, 'It's no sin to break the horn of a raging bull.']

Prestige is a very important issue in diplomacy.

Russia has the largest territory in the world, is a military superpower with nuclear weapons, and occupies one of the permanent seats on the UN Security Council.

Although it was treated as a toothless and clawless bear after going through the dissolution of the Soviet Union and various economic crises, no matter how much it had fallen, Russia was still Russia.

Even now, economically it might be different, but militarily, there were few countries that could face Russia.

No one should mess with Russia. This was practically a principle.

[The people want revenge. And as president, I have a duty to fulfill the wishes of the people.]

For a moment, I wanted to ask, 'Do you, who respect the will of the people so much, practice dictatorship?', but I held back.

"If you attack Ukraine, your relationship with Europe will be irreversible."

President Vysotsky raised his voice.

[What does that matter? Russia has been subjected to continuous unfair sanctions from the West! Did you think we would just keep putting up with it?]

The words, 'You're the one who invaded Ukraine first!', came up to my throat, but I held back again.

Of course, President Vysotsky would not think so. He had gone so far as to say in public, 'The country of Ukraine does not exist.'

The fact that he was so angry meant that the blow from the Western sanctions was enormous. That's why Russia had also accepted the Minsk Agreement.

Fortunately, with the development and sale of TWRs, the door to the West had opened again, and as the Ukraine situation calmed down, the Russian forces were scheduled to withdraw sequentially from Donbas and three other regions.

Along with this, the lifting of economic sanctions and cooperation were also scheduled to proceed immediately. President Ronald, who had a close personal relationship with President Vysotsky, had also lent his support, saying 'the lifting of sanctions on Russia should be done as quickly as possible.'

But President Ronald was now practically a vegetable president. His political standing had shrunk, and he could not control not only the Fed, but also the Senate, the House, and even the Republican Party.

Moreover, as the EU was also in chaos, the atmosphere was that the lifting of sanctions was a lost cause. In the meantime, the Russian economy had reached its worst.

The easiest way to quell internal discontent is to create an external enemy. In this case, it would be Ukraine.

Until now, they had been patient because of their expectations for the lifting of sanctions, but since there was no sign of the sanctions being lifted anyway, were they now going to go all out?

Of course, even President Vysotsky would not really want a war. This was pressure to lift the economic sanctions on Russia.

But the EU also needed an external enemy due to its internal divisions. If they showed a sign of weakness to Russia here, the Eastern European countries suffering from economic crises might defect.

Therefore, the EU also had no intention of backing down an inch.

"I understand you, Mr. President. Please give me some time."

[What can you do if I give you time?]

"The current crisis will definitely calm down. At that time, we can fully resolve this issue through dialogue."

President Vysotsky said sarcastically.

[Do you really think so, even after seeing what's going on?]

The terrorist attack in Northern Ireland, the suppression of the Hong Kong protesters by the People's Liberation Army, Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and so on.

Were all these things also intended by Rothschild? Whether they were or not, I cannot let it happen.

"There will be no financial crisis. I will stop it, no matter what it takes."

[Can you take responsibility for that?]

"If things go wrong, I will give up my stake in TWR."

This was my way of showing my resolve.

President Vysotsky's voice softened a little.

[How much time do you need?]

"Two months."

A long silence followed. After a moment, President Vysotsky said, as if sighing.

[If Russia is shaken even before then, I can't help it.]

The fact that he had compromised this much must be because he trusts me. For now, this is the best I can do.

I sighed in relief inwardly. Have I managed to prevent a war from breaking out for now?

"Thank you, Mr. President."

***

A battle broke out between the NATO-Ukraine joint forces and the Russian forces in the port city of Mariupol on the Black Sea coast.

To prevent an escalation of the conflict and civilian casualties, both sides refrained from using tanks and missiles.

Bullets flew, and shells exploded. Gunfire and screams echoed from all sides, and the soldiers who had fallen, bleeding, cried out to be saved.

At that moment, I woke up from my dream. When I opened my eyes, I saw Ellie's face.

She looked at me and asked.

"Did you have another nightmare?"

"I think so."

It was like watching a realistic war movie. The difference would be that it wasn't actors acting, but real people dying.

My whole body was soaked in a cold sweat.

I wiped off the sweat and drank some water.

"You've been having a lot of nightmares lately. Are you okay?"

I forced a smile.

"I'm fine."

"My mother is also very worried. She calls me every day to ask if you're eating well."

Come to think of it, I haven't talked to my mother for a few days. I had so many calls coming in from all over that I had turned off my phone and wasn't answering calls.

She must be losing sleep, worrying about her son.

"I should give her a call."

Ellie, who was watching me intently, said in a whisper.

"Thank you."

"For what?"

"For persuading China."

I was surprised.

"How did you know?"

"Did you think I wouldn't know? I can tell just by looking at your expression, Jin-hoo."

It seems we've spent a long time together.

Ellie wrapped her arms around my neck and hugged me.

"Don't worry too much. Even if something goes wrong, it's not your fault."

I could feel her warm touch and body heat. Just being held like this seemed to calm my heart.

Chairman Zhang Pinghua had stated his principled position that the Hong Kong government should resolve the Hong Kong issue. The protests continued day after day, but the Hong Kong government also seemed to be refraining from suppressing the protests as much as possible.

But it's too early to be relieved.

The People's Liberation Army is still stationed in Shenzhen, and if the situation worsens, they will act at any time. The same goes for Russia.

Can I really stop all of this?

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